Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). O'Connor wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 50.0% vs Backlund 49.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 76.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.1%
Result
Drew O'Connor favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
O'Connor
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Connor
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
1
0
O'Connor
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (80)
50.1% (891)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
53.1% (64)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
47.8% (278)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. O'Connor is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (61).
O'Connor shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Backlund
Home
60.9% (46)
48.1% (580)
Away
40.7% (54)
51.1% (653)
By Period
O'Connor
Backlund
P1
40.0%
45.1%
P2
52.6%
54.7%
P3
56.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |