Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cozens
Lindholm
Last 6: Cozens 3-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Cozens
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
57.7% (1,124)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
52.9% (155)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
48.6% (259)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
49.0% (600)
55.7% (760)
Away
47.6% (574)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
46.5%
53.7%
P2
52.9%
58.3%
P3
45.2%
55.1%
OT
53.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |