Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
54.4% (722)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
62.2% (164)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.4% (83)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
54.1% (375)
55.8% (541)
Away
52.3% (331)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
55.8%
54.8%
P2
50.6%
55.7%
P3
53.7%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |