Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Lindholm 54.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 72.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 70.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cozens
Lindholm
Last 5: Cozens 1-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Cozens
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Cozens
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Cozens
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
54.9% (937)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
60.4% (265)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
49.4% (172)
-7.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
49.5% (638)
54.4% (688)
Away
51.9% (522)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
51.9%
57.2%
P2
46.4%
54.3%
P3
54.2%
54.2%
OT
16.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |