Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Nazar 45.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 56.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Cozens
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Nazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
45.2% (314)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
39.5% (38)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
44.8% (29)
-2.4%
On power play, Cozens has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
49.5% (638)
43.4% (196)
Away
51.9% (522)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
51.9%
47.3%
P2
46.4%
40.3%
P3
54.2%
46.7%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |