Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Nazar 46.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 73.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 63.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
46.9% (533)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
49.2% (132)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
25.6% (39)
+7.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
54.1% (375)
45.0% (329)
Away
52.3% (331)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
55.8%
47.2%
P2
50.6%
43.1%
P3
53.7%
46.8%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |