Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Nazar 45.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Cozens
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
46.1% (866)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
46.5% (172)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
33.3% (69)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
48.2% (2,677)
44.2% (536)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
46.4% (571)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
49.1%
47.3%
P2
47.7%
42.0%
P3
48.8%
46.0%
OT
34.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |