Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Lundeström 45.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 72.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.3%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cozens
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cozens
Lundeström
Last 9: Cozens 5-4 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Lundeström
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
2
Cozens
Lundeström
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Lundeström
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
45.2% (785)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
55.6% (9)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
36.5% (85)
-2.0%
On power play, Lundeström has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Lundeström is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lundeström
Home
43.9% (410)
45.8% (428)
Away
47.2% (430)
43.2% (451)
By Period
Cozens
Lundeström
P1
46.4%
48.6%
P2
41.6%
46.5%
P3
49.4%
37.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |