Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Lundeström 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 72.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Cozens
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cozens
Lundeström
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Lundeström
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Cozens
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
4
Cozens
Lundeström
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
53.6% (209)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
50.0% (4)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (26)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Lundeström is 64.1% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lundeström
Home
54.1% (375)
50.0% (136)
Away
52.3% (331)
57.3% (103)
By Period
Cozens
Lundeström
P1
55.8%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
53.7%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |