Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Lundeström 47.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 67.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Cozens
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Lundeström
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
2
Cozens
Lundeström
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Lundeström
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Lundeström
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
47.5% (554)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
57.1% (7)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
46.3% (41)
-6.8%
On power play, Lundeström has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Lundeström is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lundeström
Home
49.0% (600)
47.4% (266)
Away
47.6% (574)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Cozens
Lundeström
P1
46.5%
54.5%
P2
52.9%
44.4%
P3
45.2%
44.6%
OT
53.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |