Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Compher 51.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 72.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Cozens
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Compher
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Cozens
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
52.2% (471)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
65.6% (61)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
41.6% (125)
-7.1%
On power play, Compher has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Compher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Cozens
Compher
Home
43.9% (410)
54.4% (362)
Away
47.2% (430)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Cozens
Compher
P1
46.4%
49.6%
P2
41.6%
53.6%
P3
49.4%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |