Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 44.8%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Compher 45.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Cozens
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Cozens
Compher
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
4
Cozens
Compher
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
4
Cozens
Compher
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
3
Cozens
Compher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
45.5% (782)
+1.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
44.2% (77)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
41.7% (180)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Cozens
Compher
Home
46.2% (567)
44.0% (484)
Away
44.9% (579)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Cozens
Compher
P1
46.5%
46.2%
P2
46.5%
44.8%
P3
44.2%
44.2%
OT
22.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |