Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Compher 48.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 67.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 56.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Cozens
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Cozens
Compher
Last 10: Cozens 2-8 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
10
Cozens
Compher
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
6
Cozens
Compher
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Cozens
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.3% (1,149)
+0.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
53.9% (204)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
43.6% (312)
-4.1%
On power play, Compher has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Cozens
Compher
Home
49.0% (600)
50.7% (872)
Away
47.6% (574)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Cozens
Compher
P1
46.5%
49.9%
P2
52.9%
47.9%
P3
45.2%
49.0%
OT
53.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |