Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 92.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 81.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Cozens
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cozens
Hughes
Last 5: Cozens 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Cozens
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
34.9% (444)
+14.5%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
50.0% (14)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
33.3% (6)
+6.2%
On even strength, Cozens has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hughes
Home
49.0% (600)
37.4% (235)
Away
47.6% (574)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Cozens
Hughes
P1
46.5%
37.1%
P2
52.9%
33.7%
P3
45.2%
34.8%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |