Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Hughes 40.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 88.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 80.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Cozens
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cozens
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Cozens
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
35.6% (281)
+11.1%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
50.0% (36)
-6.1%
On even strength, Cozens has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hughes
Home
46.2% (567)
38.4% (198)
Away
44.9% (579)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Cozens
Hughes
P1
46.5%
44.3%
P2
46.5%
34.2%
P3
44.2%
34.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |