Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Hughes 39.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 92.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 91.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Cozens
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Cozens
Hughes
Last 9: Cozens 9-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
37.9% (623)
+13.5%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
33.3% (33)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
36.4% (11)
+6.0%
On power play, Cozens has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hughes
Home
49.5% (638)
36.6% (314)
Away
51.9% (522)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Cozens
Hughes
P1
51.9%
36.4%
P2
46.4%
35.6%
P3
54.2%
41.8%
OT
16.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |