Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Cozens
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Draisaitl
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Cozens
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
52.6% (1,124)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
58.4% (344)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
49.2% (193)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Cozens
Draisaitl
Home
43.9% (410)
55.5% (816)
Away
47.2% (430)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Cozens
Draisaitl
P1
46.4%
51.1%
P2
41.6%
51.6%
P3
49.4%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |