Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 61.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 71.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Cozens
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
55.9% (835)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
61.8% (228)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (40)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Cozens
Draisaitl
Home
54.1% (375)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.3% (331)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Cozens
Draisaitl
P1
55.8%
55.8%
P2
50.6%
55.7%
P3
53.7%
59.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |