Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 57.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Cozens
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Cozens
Draisaitl
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cozens
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Cozens
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
52.4% (974)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
59.5% (373)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
61.0% (123)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Cozens
Draisaitl
Home
49.0% (600)
54.5% (778)
Away
47.6% (574)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Cozens
Draisaitl
P1
46.5%
54.6%
P2
52.9%
56.1%
P3
45.2%
53.3%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |