Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 92.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 60.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cozens
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Cozens
Acciari
Last 10: Cozens 1-9 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
5
Cozens
Acciari
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Cozens
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
52.8% (3,276)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
48.2% (85)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.1% (1,061)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Cozens
Acciari
Home
48.2% (2,677)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Cozens
Acciari
P1
49.1%
52.2%
P2
47.7%
51.5%
P3
48.8%
50.5%
OT
34.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |