Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Acciari 53.9% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 93.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 65.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Cozens
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Cozens
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Cozens
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Cozens
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
55.6% (426)
-8.9%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
0.0% (2)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
52.1% (146)
-9.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Cozens
Acciari
Home
46.2% (567)
55.2% (306)
Away
44.9% (579)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Cozens
Acciari
P1
46.5%
55.5%
P2
46.5%
54.3%
P3
44.2%
54.1%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |