Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 75.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Cozens
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cozens
Acciari
Last 6: Cozens 1-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Cozens
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Cozens
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Cozens
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
56.7% (393)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
33.3% (3)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
48.0% (202)
-5.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Cozens
Acciari
Home
49.5% (638)
54.5% (279)
Away
51.9% (522)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Cozens
Acciari
P1
51.9%
56.9%
P2
46.4%
51.4%
P3
54.2%
53.2%
OT
16.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |