Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Acciari 53.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Cozens
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Cozens
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
54.5% (532)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
62.5% (8)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
48.8% (86)
-9.3%
On power play, Acciari has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Cozens
Acciari
Home
49.0% (600)
56.2% (281)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Cozens
Acciari
P1
46.5%
53.4%
P2
52.9%
57.1%
P3
45.2%
51.4%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |