Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Johnson 52.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 77.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 68.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Cozens
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Cozens
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
55.4% (186)
-6.0%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
100.0% (3)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
37.8% (37)
+1.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Johnson is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Cozens
Johnson
Home
49.0% (600)
51.6% (95)
Away
47.6% (574)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Cozens
Johnson
P1
46.5%
46.7%
P2
52.9%
50.5%
P3
45.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |