Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Johnson 50.8% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Cozens
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
56.9% (51)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
43.3% (30)
-1.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Cozens
Johnson
Home
46.2% (567)
56.3% (32)
Away
44.9% (579)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Cozens
Johnson
P1
46.5%
55.6%
P2
46.5%
48.0%
P3
44.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%