Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Strome 45.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 58.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 57.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cozens
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Cozens
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
44.1% (749)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
46.2% (52)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
52.9% (17)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
43.9% (410)
45.1% (441)
Away
47.2% (430)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
46.4%
42.9%
P2
41.6%
44.4%
P3
49.4%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |