Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Strome 45.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
44.2% (267)
+8.4%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
37.0% (27)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
54.1% (375)
42.0% (157)
Away
52.3% (331)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
55.8%
40.0%
P2
50.6%
46.4%
P3
53.7%
44.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |