Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Strome 42.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
41.2% (1,040)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
43.0% (151)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
51.4% (35)
-9.0%
On even strength, Cozens has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
49.5% (638)
40.1% (581)
Away
51.9% (522)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
51.9%
41.4%
P2
46.4%
42.9%
P3
54.2%
40.5%
OT
16.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |