Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Aho 51.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 70.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Cozens
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cozens
Aho
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
8
Cozens
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
48.5% (778)
+0.9%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
63.4% (191)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
50.8% (65)
-11.3%
On power play, Aho has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Cozens
Aho
Home
49.0% (600)
51.3% (530)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Cozens
Aho
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
52.9%
51.3%
P3
45.2%
52.1%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |