Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 83.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 73.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Cozens
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cozens
Aho
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Cozens
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Cozens
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Cozens
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.2% (785)
-4.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
63.8% (213)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
57.9% (57)
-15.6%
On power play, Aho has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Cozens
Aho
Home
46.2% (567)
54.9% (548)
Away
44.9% (579)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Cozens
Aho
P1
46.5%
52.8%
P2
46.5%
58.9%
P3
44.2%
50.6%
OT
22.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | OT | 00:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |