Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Nosek 53.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 82.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 64.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Cozens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cozens
Nosek
Last 7: Cozens 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Cozens
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Cozens
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
55.1% (557)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
50.0% (4)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.7% (111)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nosek
Home
43.9% (410)
52.3% (342)
Away
47.2% (430)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Cozens
Nosek
P1
46.4%
49.0%
P2
41.6%
53.8%
P3
49.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |