Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cozens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
53.0% (400)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
33.3% (12)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
45.5% (44)
-3.1%
On power play, Cozens has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nosek
Home
49.5% (638)
49.6% (244)
Away
51.9% (522)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Cozens
Nosek
P1
51.9%
53.1%
P2
46.4%
51.4%
P3
54.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |