Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 72.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 92.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 84.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Cozens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cozens
Nosek
Last 8: Cozens 5-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Cozens
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
59.7% (469)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
100.0% (4)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
56.5% (124)
-17.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nosek
Home
49.0% (600)
59.0% (295)
Away
47.6% (574)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Cozens
Nosek
P1
46.5%
56.3%
P2
52.9%
61.9%
P3
45.2%
59.2%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |