Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.3%). Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Boyd 45.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 59.1%
Defensive zone
Boyd 58.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.9%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cozens
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Cozens
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
45.9% (784)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
43.2% (81)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
40.3% (62)
-5.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Cozens
Boyd
Home
43.9% (410)
45.1% (501)
Away
47.2% (430)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Cozens
Boyd
P1
46.4%
45.9%
P2
41.6%
44.6%
P3
49.4%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |