Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Boyd 44.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 68.1%
Defensive zone
Boyd 64.7%
Neutral zone
Boyd 65.5%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Cozens
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cozens
Boyd
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Cozens
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
3
Cozens
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
44.4% (2,186)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
46.5% (256)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
35.6% (208)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Cozens
Boyd
Home
48.2% (2,677)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Cozens
Boyd
P1
49.1%
41.7%
P2
47.7%
46.2%
P3
48.8%
44.0%
OT
34.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |