Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Boyd 43.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 66.4%
Defensive zone
Boyd 64.5%
Neutral zone
Boyd 63.7%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Cozens
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cozens
Boyd
Last 7: Cozens 2-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Cozens
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
3
Cozens
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
43.4% (893)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
51.5% (136)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
34.6% (127)
+4.9%
On even strength, Cozens has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Cozens
Boyd
Home
49.0% (600)
46.0% (570)
Away
47.6% (574)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Cozens
Boyd
P1
46.5%
38.9%
P2
52.9%
50.4%
P3
45.2%
41.1%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |