Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 55.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Cozens
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cozens
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Cozens
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
56.5% (712)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
59.7% (67)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
44.9% (49)
-10.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Cozens
Seguin
Home
43.9% (410)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.2% (430)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Cozens
Seguin
P1
46.4%
58.4%
P2
41.6%
54.7%
P3
49.4%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |