Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 67.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 68.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 72.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Cozens
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cozens
Seguin
Last 5: Cozens 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Cozens
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Cozens
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
56.9% (478)
-10.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
57.4% (54)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
51.3% (76)
-9.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Cozens
Seguin
Home
46.2% (567)
57.4% (317)
Away
44.9% (579)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Cozens
Seguin
P1
46.5%
50.3%
P2
46.5%
60.4%
P3
44.2%
58.0%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |