Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 52.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cozens
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Cozens
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
55.0% (713)
-5.6%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
56.7% (104)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
47.2% (53)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Cozens
Seguin
Home
49.0% (600)
56.2% (443)
Away
47.6% (574)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Cozens
Seguin
P1
46.5%
54.2%
P2
52.9%
52.9%
P3
45.2%
57.1%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |