Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 62.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 93.9%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 73.5%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Gambrell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Gambrell
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Gambrell
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Gambrell
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
60.9% (1,043)
-9.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.4% (278)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
47.6% (21)
-11.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Gambrell shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Tavares
Home
46.7% (240)
63.5% (684)
Away
50.3% (364)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Gambrell
Tavares
P1
43.0%
60.3%
P2
53.7%
60.4%
P3
49.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |