Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 62.8%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 95.2%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 77.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Gambrell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Gambrell
Tavares
Last 10: Gambrell 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Gambrell
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gambrell
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Gambrell
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
54.0% (16,108)
-6.6%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
56.5% (4,283)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
50.6% (620)
-10.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Tavares
Home
44.3% (994)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.1% (980)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Gambrell
Tavares
P1
44.3%
55.0%
P2
49.8%
54.1%
P3
44.5%
54.1%
OT
12.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |