Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.9%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 84.1%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 72.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Gambrell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Gambrell
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Gambrell
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Gambrell
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
57.5% (914)
-11.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.5% (309)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
59.1% (22)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Tavares
Home
46.6% (161)
61.0% (661)
Away
43.4% (145)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Gambrell
Tavares
P1
44.3%
58.6%
P2
46.6%
57.8%
P3
44.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |