Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 53.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 91.4%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 69.5%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Gambrell
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gambrell
Stastny
Last 7: Gambrell 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Gambrell
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Gambrell
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
59.2% (370)
-7.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
40.9% (44)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
51.7% (58)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Gambrell shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Stastny
Home
46.7% (240)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.3% (364)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Gambrell
Stastny
P1
43.0%
57.7%
P2
53.7%
54.2%
P3
49.8%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |