Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 67.7%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 91.6%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 79.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Gambrell
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Gambrell
Stastny
Last 10: Gambrell 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Gambrell
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gambrell
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Gambrell
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
54.6% (10,616)
-7.2%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
59.1% (1,994)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
52.9% (1,119)
-12.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Stastny
Home
44.3% (994)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.1% (980)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Gambrell
Stastny
P1
44.3%
56.3%
P2
49.8%
55.4%
P3
44.5%
53.5%
OT
12.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |