Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 80.0%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 71.6%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 55.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Gambrell
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gambrell
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Gambrell
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
57.5% (412)
-11.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.0% (65)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
44.4% (9)
-9.3%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Stastny
Home
46.6% (161)
58.3% (276)
Away
43.4% (145)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Gambrell
Stastny
P1
44.3%
63.7%
P2
46.6%
57.3%
P3
44.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |