Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lee on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lee wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 46.8% vs Larkin 52.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 72.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lee
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lee
Larkin
Last 6: Lee 3-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
3
0
Lee
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Lee
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (165)
51.0% (973)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
59.5% (252)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
49.6% (137)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lee is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Lee shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Lee
Larkin
Home
50.6% (89)
54.9% (721)
Away
40.9% (110)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Lee
Larkin
P1
39.7%
52.4%
P2
44.8%
50.8%
P3
49.2%
54.4%
OT
75.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
39.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
45.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Anders Lee |