Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Larkin 52.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Coyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Larkin
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Coyle
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
51.0% (973)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
59.5% (252)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
49.6% (137)
-7.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Coyle
Larkin
Home
44.3% (332)
54.9% (721)
Away
48.8% (367)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Coyle
Larkin
P1
47.5%
52.4%
P2
47.5%
50.8%
P3
45.7%
54.4%
OT
35.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |