Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Larkin 54.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Coyle
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Coyle
Larkin
Last 5: Coyle 0-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Coyle
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Coyle
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
53.6% (886)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
59.3% (317)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
48.7% (152)
-0.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Coyle
Larkin
Home
53.3% (512)
56.6% (700)
Away
51.9% (507)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Coyle
Larkin
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
47.8%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
52.7%
OT
38.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |