Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Strome 58.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 88.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 68.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Larkin
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
56.2% (856)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
66.4% (298)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
41.7% (12)
+6.5%
On power play, Strome has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
52.4% (647)
55.7% (627)
Away
52.7% (643)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.2%
61.6%
P2
53.1%
54.5%
P3
51.7%
60.4%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |