Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Strome 52.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 53.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 89.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 74.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
50.6% (1,002)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
59.9% (299)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
57.9% (19)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
56.0% (654)
51.9% (700)
Away
54.8% (639)
53.9% (620)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
54.4%
51.6%
P2
55.9%
53.0%
P3
55.2%
54.3%
OT
64.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | OT | 01:25 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |